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A WARM FRONT WILL SLOWLY APPROACH FROM THE SOUTH TODAY, WITH RAIN EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL SHIFT TO THE SOUTHWEST TONIGHT AS THE FRONT LIFTS INTO THE AREA. THIS WILL RESULT IN WARMER TEMPERATURES. HIGHS TODAY WILL RANGE FROM THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. THE SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW CONTINUES ON TUESDAY, AND TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO RISE. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO NEAR 70 ARE POSSIBLE IN NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND POINTS AWAY FROM THE COAST. COASTAL AREAS WILL BE COOLER, IN THE 50S, WHICH IS STILL WELL ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. LOW CLOUDS AND FOG ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP TONIGHT WITH THE STEADY RAIN TRANSITIONING TO DRIZZLE.

Wednesday, December 6, 2017

DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE AREA. TEMPERATURES WILL BE SEASONABLE, RANGING FROM THE 20S IN THE OUTLYING AREAS, TO THE 30S ELSEWHERE. THE AREA WILL UNDERGO A COOLING TREND THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK AND INTO THE BEGINNING OF THE WEEKEND. HIGHS ON THURSDAY WILL BE NEAR NORMAL, IN THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 40S. BY THE END OF THE WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND, UPPER 30S TO AROUND 40 ARE EXPECTED FOR HIGH TEMPERATURES. IT WILL IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN DRY THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THE NEXT CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION WILL COME FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY AS LOW PRESSURE FORMS ALONG AN OLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY WELL OFFSHORE AND PASSES SOUTH AND EAST OF OUR AREA. THE PRECIPITATION MAY START OUT AS A MIXTURE OF RAIN AND SNOW ALONG THE COAST, BUT EVENTUALLY A CHANGE OVER TO ALL SNOW IS POSSIBLE. THE BEST CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION WILL BE EASTERN LONG ISLAND AND SOUTHEAST CONNECTICUT. SNOW SHOWERS OR SNOW SQUALLS MAY COAT SOME ROADS WITH UP TO AN INCH OF SNOW SUNDAY MORNING IN PARTS OF EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA AND NEW JERSEY, WITH THE HIGHER TERRAIN MORE SUSCEPTIBLE FOR AN ACCUMULATION. THE CHANCE FOR A SLIGHT ACCUMULATION OF SNOW IN THE CITIES ALONG THE INTERSTATE 95 CORRIDOR IS LESS THAN IN COLDER SECTIONS OF NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA AND FAR NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY. A COATING TO POSSIBLY AN INCH OR TWO OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE FRIDAY NIGHT OR EARLY SATURDAY. THERE ARE STILL MANY UNCERTAINTIES, INCLUDING AMOUNTS OF PRECIPITATION, WHETHER ITS A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW OR ALL SNOW, AND HOW MUCH CAN ACCUMULATE WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE LOW TO MID 30S. FOR NOW, IT LOOKS LIKE A MINOR EVENT BUT A PERIOD OF SNOW SHOULD OCCUR OVER SOUTHEASTERN DELAWARE AND POSSIBLY THROUGH SOUTHEASTERN NEW JERSEY FRIDAY NIGHT OR EARLY SATURDAY. SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT, NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR 1 TO 2 INCHES OF SNOW LATE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY ACROSS EASTERN LONG ISLAND AND SOUTHEAST CONNECTICUT AS OFFSHORE LOW PRESSURE PASSES TO THE SOUTH AND EAST. A WESTWARD SHIFT IN THE TRACK, ALTHOUGH A LOW PROBABILITY AT THIS TIME, WOULD BRING A HEAVIER SNOWFALL EVENT TO THE COAST AND AN ACCUMULATING SNOW ACROSS THE INTERIOR AND THE NEW YORK CITY METRO AREA.

RAIN SHOWERS WILL END THIS MORNING AFTER THE COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS. THE FRONT THEN EXITS OFFSHORE AND STALLS. TEMPERATURES WILL BE WARMEST THIS MORNING AND SLOWLY FALL DURING THE AFTERNOON. WEST TO NORTHWEST FLOW WILL BE GUSTY AT TIMES BEHIND THE FRONT AND HELP DELIVER A COLDER AIRMASS TO THE REGION AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST. THE HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS NEARLY THE SAME MAGNITUDE ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE AND TEMPERATURES WILL TREND NEAR NORMAL FOR TONIGHT AND THURSDAY WITH A TREND TO SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL FOR THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY TEMPERATURES. A WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE TRAVELS ALONG THE FRONT FRIDAY BUT STAYS WELL OFFSHORE. CLOUDS WILL INCREASE BUT WEATHER IS FORECAST TO REMAIN MAINLY DRY.

Monday, December 4, 2017

CLOUDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE OVERNIGHT AHEAD OF AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES. THIS WILL RESULT IN OVERNIGHT LOWS THAT ARE ABOUT 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL, RANGING FROM THE MID 30S IN OUTLYING AREAS TO MID 40S IN THE CITY. SHOWER CHANCES WILL INCREASE FROM WEST TO EAST DURING THE DAY ON TUESDAY AS THE WARM FRONT LIFTS NORTH OF THE AREA AND THE COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO APPROACH FROM THE WEST. HEAVIER AND STEADIER RAIN WILL MOVE IN TUESDAY EVENING AND CONTINUE INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS BEFORE RAIN TAPERS OFF FROM WEST TO EAST WEDNESDAY MORNING. WITH SOUTHERLY FLOW AHEAD OF THE FRONT, HIGHS ON TUESDAY WILL RISE INTO THE MID TO UPPER 50S, ABOUT 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR EARLY DECEMBER. TEMPERATURES WILL THEN REMAIN NEARLY STEADY OVERNIGHT BEFORE DROPPING IN THE WAKE OF THE COLD FRONT. HIGHS ON WEDNESDAY ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM THE MID 40S TO AROUND 50.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE IN CONTROL TODAY ACROSS THE TRI-STATE AREA. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES WILL START THE DAY BEFORE GIVING WAY TO PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES THIS AFTERNOON. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE A FEW DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL IN THE UPPER 40S AND LOWER 50S. A WARM FRONT APPROACHES TONIGHT, WHICH COULD LEAD TO A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS OR DRIZZLE ACROSS THE INTERIOR. OTHERWISE, MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ARE FORECAST. THE WARM FRONT MOVES NORTH OF THE REGION ON TUESDAY BRINGING AN UNSEASONABLY WARM DAY WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE MIDDLE AND UPPER 50S. A FEW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON, BECOMING WIDESPREAD IN THE EVENING AND AT NIGHT AS A STRONG COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE REGION. THE COLD FRONT MOVES OFFSHORE WEDNESDAY MORNING MARKING THE BEGINNING OF A MUCH COLDER WEATHER PATTERN.